Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-31 2.136599 2.437004 2.764452 3.147892 3.584653 4.066748 4.639414
2025-09-07 1.644814 2.046475 2.523247 3.131016 3.885582 4.792262 5.965656
2025-09-14 1.354320 1.788766 2.335547 3.074467 4.047854 5.287771 6.989966
2025-09-21 1.161117 1.610633 2.204218 3.045781 4.209638 5.764969 8.006266
2025-09-28 1.008721 1.460041 2.081367 2.999700 4.324514 6.170167 8.944283
2025-10-05 0.961331 1.445584 2.137643 3.199467 4.790478 7.091344 10.683068
2025-10-12 0.874164 1.361103 2.081148 3.224250 4.997370 7.650557 11.937961
2025-10-19 0.822295 1.322330 2.085478 3.335926 5.338788 8.431984 13.593260
2025-10-26 0.748140 1.239922 2.012968 3.317642 5.470989 8.896339 14.785855
2025-11-02 0.685724 1.169272 1.950842 3.307211 5.610140 9.377013 16.039712
2025-11-09 0.621092 1.088019 1.862914 3.243754 5.652013 9.696737 17.045666
2025-11-16 0.582325 1.046726 1.837107 3.281590 5.866281 10.318389 18.617849
2025-11-23 0.541682 1.002131 1.808194 3.323588 6.114081 11.058477 20.544331
2025-11-30 0.494426 0.941473 1.746476 3.303346 6.253773 11.631638 22.250447
2025-12-07 0.447627 0.876133 1.668799 3.243793 6.311513 12.056235 23.715442
2025-12-14 0.410152 0.824280 1.610416 3.213518 6.419327 12.580470 25.419560
2025-12-21 0.374702 0.772440 1.546485 3.164893 6.484451 13.025636 27.008028
2025-12-28 0.371538 0.785068 1.609522 3.375688 7.088647 14.584733 31.009371
2026-01-04 0.348989 0.755185 1.584089 3.401839 7.315069 15.402476 33.550332
2026-01-11 0.337268 0.746866 1.601797 3.519681 7.744694 16.676894 37.189633
2026-01-18 0.313972 0.710998 1.558009 3.500387 7.875935 17.332034 39.540404
2026-01-25 0.293490 0.679236 1.519879 3.489380 8.023470 18.034182 42.064165
2026-02-01 0.270397 0.639181 1.459666 3.422419 8.037526 18.441575 43.952327